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� � <br /> Clark Lohr Februa�y G,2006 <br /> projections,a 46%reduction in Wayzata Boulevard traffic is expected. However,total tcaffic on both Old <br /> and New T[I 12 is forecast to increase at an annual rate of appcoximately 3.6%. <br /> The study, as well 1s the City of Orono's Comprehensive Plan, note that development oF the southwest <br /> and northeast quadcants of the intersection are possible within the design horizon of this study. Although <br /> no specific development proposals have been submitted to the City, possible develo�mei�t includes the <br /> following(as illustclted on Figure 4): <br /> ➢ Parcel Group 1 (northeast quadrant of Wayzata Boulevard/Old Crystal Bay Road) is current(y in <br /> various stages of development, fi•om newly completed to not yet planned. Under the worst case <br /> scenario, fi�ll development of this approximately 60-acre parcel under the mix of land uses <br /> anticipated could generate 1n additionll 5,000 daily trips. <br /> A Parcel Group 2(so�rthwest quadrant)is an 80-acce �arcel currently zoned RR-1 B (1 to 2 housing <br /> units per acre). Conversations with City Planning staff indicate that this parcel is expected be <br /> rezoned in order to develop with slightly higher density; possibly 2 to 4 units per acce. (Current <br /> zoning woulcl restrict development density to 1 to 2 �nlits per acre.) Full development of this s0- <br /> acre parcel could be expected to bring 320 single family housing units, or just over 3,000 trips per <br /> day. <br /> The addition of 8,000 trips attributable to both these aceas, approximately two-thirds of which might use <br /> Wayzata Boulevard, accounts for roughly one-third of the area growth anticipatecl to occur on Wayzata <br /> Boulevard between 2000 and 2015 in tl�e Bonestcoo study. It is assumed that t]lis growth would not occur <br /> in addition to the 3.6%annual growth in tlie area,but rather as a part of it(1.2%annually). <br /> To Ue consistent in accounting for all of the above effects,this study makes the following assumptions for <br /> the No-Build scenario: <br /> ➢ An overall flat background growtll rate of 2.4%annually througl�the design year,2009 <br /> ➢ Full development of Parcel Group 1 and 2 <br /> ➢ A shift of 50%of Wayzata Boulevard thcough traffic to new TH 12 <br /> Using these assumptions, eYisting traffic volumes were modified accordingly to arrive at 2009 No-Build <br /> Weekday AM and PM peak hour traffic volumes for the study area, illush�ated on Figure 5. <br /> Roadwav Improvements Anticipated <br /> As noted in the introductioi�, MnDOT anticipates completion of new TH 12 in fall of 2006. It should be <br /> noted that no access will Ue provided to New TH 12 from Old Ciystal Bay Road, however. Tlie nearest <br /> access points will be at the County Road G intercha��ge one mile to the west and the Wayzata Boulevard <br /> intercliange two miles to the east beyond the City of Loi�g Lake. <br /> Othec than the co.mpletion of the New Trunk Highway 12, no other roadway improvement projects in the <br /> area are progrlinmed for completion through 2009. <br /> Build Traffic Conditions <br /> Trip Generation/Distcibution/Assi n�� <br /> The nuinUer of new trips to be generated by the proposed development was estimateci for the weekday <br /> AM and PM peak hours using IT�'s Trip Generation.7°i Cdition. <br /> RLK Inc. Page 3 of7 Orono Office/Warehouse <br /> G:Utynn Companies\200G-0?I-A1\Teclmicnl DntnitrnlTic4eport\02•10-OG updnted sq foo�ngeslTlS memo 02-10-W.doc 20QG-021-M <br /> t <br />