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BARTON-ASCHMAN associates , INC. <br />•r T--r Av?-..e So'v h. Su.lf» 35C • V'^ncanc s M;n-escia 35^0* USA • (6*2i 332-CA2- • Fa*: (612) 232-b'eO <br />MEMORANDUM TO:Trunk Highway 12 Mediation Committee <br />COPIES TO:Charles Siggerud, Mn/DOT Metro Division <br />Valerie Reinaas, Mn/DOT Metro Division, Project Manager <br />Roger Williams, Mediation Services <br />FROM: <br />DATE: <br />SUBJECT: <br />Stave Ruegg <br />June 24, 1994 <br />Traffic Fore^iisting Initiation and Socioeconomic Data for TH 12 <br />Corridor <br />analysis for alternatives within this coiridor. The impact analysis will use ^e residts of the <br />traffic forecast (along with other information) to evaluate the alternatives. The Barto - <br />Aschman project manager for the traffic forecasting work is Mr. Steve Ruegg, who will <br />attend the Tuesday meeting. <br />General Methodology <br />The travel forecasting effort will use the recently-developed regional forecast model, <br />modified to suit the particular needs of this study. The regional model, develope join y y <br />Mn/DOT and the Metropolitan Council, used the widely-accepted traditional four-step <br />travel demand forecasting process. Briefly, these steps are. <br />1.Trip Generation:In this step, socioeconomic data is used to estimate the number <br />and types of trips made in vehicles from particular geo^aphic <br />areas known as lYaffic Analysis Zones (TAZs). The regional <br />model uses, 1165 TAZs for the seven-coimty metro area. <br />2.Trip Distribution:The trips originating from each zone are distributed to <br />destination zones. The amount of trips distributed between any <br />two zones (i.e., a production zone where a trip begins and an <br />attraction zone where a trip ends) is proportional to the total <br />number of trips originating at the production zone and <br />terminatmg at the destination zone. In addition, the trips are <br />inversely proportional to the travel time between the zones. <br />PAHSONS <br />TPANSPORTATlON OPOUP A.- £;-£■ Cccc':-f':ry ifrc'cye-