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REGIONAL BLUEPRINT (Robin Caufman, Planning & Technical Assistance, 6S1-602-I4S7) <br />The Metropolitan Council ’s Regional Blueprint (see Figure 2) designates the developed area of Orono <br />closest to 1 Jkc Minnetonka as Urban Area (2,894 acres within the existing MUSA), surrounded by <br />Urban Reserve (7,306 acres outside current MUSA). The older sections of the city designated as Urban <br />have developed at higher densities and include a variety of uses including commercial, industrial, <br />public, opci' space and higher density residential development. The non-urban part of Orono is <br />tnappropnat* «y designated Urban Reserve given the following circumstances. The issue of future urban <br />in the area was addressed in the late I970's when the Council agreed to size the interceptor serving <br />Orono for very limiled urban growth. As a result, the interceptor does not have the capacity to serve as <br />much expanded urban area m the city, therefore the Urban Reserve desigrution is inappropriate. <br />Additionally, because the city has been committed to ’’small lot” permanent rural since the I970’s and <br />has developed accordingly, it is not feasible for the city to meet the Regional Growth Strategy’s <br />permanent rural density guidelines. While the city is inconsistent with the current Regional Growth <br />Strategy because it is not proposing to plan for Urban Reserve, its plan is reasonable given past practice <br />and previous agreements. Thmfore, the Coimcil should; .low the city of Orono to put its <br />Comprehensive Plan into cffcci. The Council ’s Rural Issues Work Group is studying the issue of rural <br />density and will be adopting r:w p ':cies in 2002 that wnll address communities like Orono that are <br />inconsistent with both Urban Reserve and Permanent Rural policies. <br />The City will continue to work towards meeting the Council's forecasts by increasing densities where <br />appropriate and where regional system capacity exists. Orono’s comprehensive plan proposes to meet <br />the Council ’s housing goals and works towards meeting Council ’s forecasts. The plan indicates that the <br />city will work with neighboring communities to meet the regional housing needs. <br />Land Use and Local Urban Service Area and Development Staging <br />Generally, the city accepts the Council employment forecasts for 2020. However, the population and household <br />forecasts are slightly less (2.6% and 6%) Uon the Council forecasts. The city calculated household and <br />population forecasts by looking at the number of future homes that each parcel could support based on zoning <br />and natural development constraints, such a.« wetlands and soil suitability. The result was a lower household <br />forecast than the Council. <br />Comparison of City and Connell Forecasts <br />Orono 7,285 7,800 9.050 9,300 <br />Council 7.285 7,750*8.450 9,550 <br />Orono 2,613 2.826 3,400 3,762 <br />Council 2,613 2.900* •3,400 4,000 <br />J O 13;.,* Sit <br />Orono 1,220 1,350 1,350 <br />Council 980 1,200 1,350 1,350 <br />•• CouiKil forecast was 2,900 households; actual U. S. Census count was 2,766. This is 4.6% less than forecasted <br />The city provided a map that analyzes the development potential based on lot size, current land use and <br />environmental constraints, such as wetlands (see Figure 6). The map shows that there is only one remaining <br />parcel larger than 40 acres in developable land in the Urban Reserve area of Orotx). There are 8 lots betiveen 20 <br />and 40 acres in size and 30 parcels that are 10 to 20 acres in size. Several of these parcels arc near existing <br />urban development and urban services, providing limited potential for future infill development. The remaining <br />962 parcels designated as urban reserve are less than 10 acres, with over 90% being less than 5 acres. This <br />analysis shows that previous development patterns, supported by the limited sewer capacity to the city, has