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Stubbs Bay <br />Phosphorus Load <br />Average <br />Load |kg| <br />Percent <br />Internal Phosphorus Load 577 63 <br />Atmospheric Phosphorus Load 61 7 <br />External Phosphorus Load 270 30 <br />Total Phosphorus Load 908 100 <br />• Phosphorus profiles taken during 2003 indicate that phosphorus concentrations <br />decrease along Classen Lake Creek as it flows toward Stubbs Bay from County <br />Road 6. <br />• Development within the Stubbs Bay watershed is expected to approximately <br />double by 2020. Loads from the watershed can be expected to increase over the <br />next 20 years. <br />1.3 Load Reduction Scenarios <br />• Benchmark water and phosnhorus budgets were established for comparison of <br />load reduction scenarios <br />Average Year Benchmark <br />Six-Year Average Conditions <br />Average Internal Load 577 kg <br />Atmospheric Load 61 kg <br />Average External Load 270 kg <br />Total Load 908 k <br />Average Lake Outflow 1.06 m /yr <br />• For benchmark loading conditions, the water quality response model predicts <br />summer water quality as: <br />Benchmark Water Quality Conditions <br />_____(growing season average) <br />Total phosphorus 57 ug/L <br />Chlorophyll-a 38 ugL <br />Secchi Depth 0.69 m <br />• The benchmark chlorophyll-a concentration of 38 ug/L is significant in that <br />severe nuisance algae blooms, defined as instantaneous chlorophyll-a exceeding <br />30 ug/L, will occur 85 percent of the growing season (approximately equal to the <br />swimming season). In order to reduce this percentage to 30 percent, the average <br />will have to be reduced to 27 ug/L; this corresponds to a load reduction of SO <br />percent and total phosphorus concentration reduction to 42 ug/L and Secchi depth <br />increase to 0.85 m. <br />T Stubbf Bay Diagnostic Report