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In-lake phosphorus concentrations are variable with summer surface total <br />phosphorus (TP) ranging from 41 to 63 ug L. <br />Total phosphorus goal from the District’s 1997 509 plan is 50 ug/L; the goal set <br />out in the HHPLS study report i>> practically the same, 50 to 55 ug/L. <br />Over the six years (1997 to 2002) of water quality monitoring on Stubbs Bay, the <br />average TP concentration is 53 ug/L. With the exception of 2001, the phosphorus <br />concentrations have been increasing steadily, at about 4.6 ug/L per year. <br />Over the same period, Chloropyll-a concentrations ranged from 23 to 39 ug/L, <br />and averaged 32 ug/L. Chlorophyll-a concentrations are relatively high compared <br />to that which would be expected from the total phosphorus concentrations. <br />The average chlorophyll-a concentration of 32 ug/'L indicates a summer frequency <br />of nuisance algae blooms (defined as Chlorophyll-a exceeding 20 ug/L) of 75 <br />percent, and severe nuisance (Chlorophyll-a exceeding 30 ug/L) of 45 percent. <br />Summer average Secchi depth ranged from 0.6 to 0.9 m, and averaged 0.76 for <br />1997 through 2002. <br />The concerns that have been raised regarding Stubbs Bay indicate that the public <br />desires a more stringent goal and are probably related to the recent negative trend <br />in water quality. <br />1.2 Stubbs Bay Diagnostic Results <br />• Stubbs Bay experiences a high internal load as evidenced by high bottom <br />phosphorus concentrations. Stubbs Bay ranks about 8'*' highest bottom <br />concentrations when compared to the 43 MCWD lakes and bays monitored in <br />2002 <br />• Estimates of summer internal phosphorus load ranged from 320 to 790 kg per <br />year. For reference the internal load calculated for Jennings Bay was 570 kg per <br />year. <br />• Internal loading is further evidenced by high lake concentrations which coincide <br />with spring and fall overturn, when phosphorus-riej bottom water mixes with the <br />surface water. <br />• External tributary loads vary from 34 kg in 2000 to 600 kg in 2002; on average <br />the external tributary load is 270 kg. The average inflow TP is 250 ug/L. Most of <br />the water and phosphorus loads are derived from the Classen Lake Creek. A <br />second tributary located at the northwest comer of the bay discharges mostly <br />during spring snowmelt, and represents a small part of the total load. <br />T «ll504y2%SIMM's HrpuaiBay lUpact^K Stubbs Bay Diagnostic Report