HomeMy WebLinkAboutEdwardsOrono2040PlanNavarre Study Area Map — Figure 1
Interaction with Lake Minnetonka
Lake Interaction Opportunities
One of the key issues identified for this study was whether the Navarre neighborhood can be
expanded to touch and interact with Lake Minnetonka. Few opportunities exist to physically
connect with the lake based on the Navarre boundaries shown in Figure 1. The most logical
location to provide any sort of connection would be along the south side of Shoreline Drive
between Carman Street and Kelly Avenue. The PAC identified this area as possible opportunity
to connect with Lake Minnetonka. Should any of these properties redevelop in the future, it is
possible that development could occur in a way that provides views of the lake. Through the
community engagement process, feedback was received that was overwhelmingly opposed to
any active lake access, such as a public launch, in this location. Environmental concerns were
cited as the primary reasons. Therefore, connections with the lake in this area should be passive
and limited to views and opportunities to walk or sit near the Lakeshore. If development is
proposed in the future, the city should work with developers to create a public space near the
lakeshore, where appropriate. When redevelopment opportunities along the Lake present
themselves, the City should consider if those redevelopment could provide a possible connection
for the Navarre neighborhood with Lake during the redevelopment.
Future Development
Market Study Considerations
Maxfield Research and Consulting, LLC was hired to conduct a market study to evaluate potential
development opportunities in the Navarre area. The entire market study is attached to this report
as Appendix A. The scope included a review of key demographic trends, assessment of current
market conditions for housing, and analysis of the current commercial market in the Lake
Minnetonka area.
The study identifies seven potential redevelopment areas and describes the potential land uses
that could result. These land uses are an indication of what the market would support but do not
Page 5
Navarre Small Area Plan
necessarily represent the desires of the neighborhood. The seven redevelopment areas are
identified in Figure 2. The study finds that many of the properties could accommodate a variety of
different land uses given their location, access, and surrounding land uses. Recommended uses
based on market demand include retail, for -sale townhomes, for -sale condominiums, senior
housing, and rental housing.
Market Study Map — Figure 2
TABLE 29
SUMMARY OF REDEVELOPMENT SITE POTENTIAL USES
1 3.66 x x
2 4.58 x x
3 1,86 x x
4 2160 x x x x
5 6.78 x x x x
6 2.22 x x
7 2.63 x x x
Source: Maxfield Research & Consulting, LLC
Commercial Market
The market study finds that Navarre and the greater Lake Minnetonka area is under -retailed. An
opportunity exists to attract additional retail businesses to the Navarre area along Shoreline Drive
or Shadywood Road. The market study identifies Sites #4 and #5 (see Table 29 above) as being
the most attractive to retail tenants. Attracting additional retail businesses to Navarre would also
Page 6
Mr. Eric Zweber December 19, 2017
WSB & Associates, Inc. Page 4
Navarre Site Parcels
Navarre Land Use by Parcel
s�
d
C+ye�Ott'r_t��rol Bar
O
West APRO Togo Rd o01
Id County Rd
northern Ave Cr staf pf
� t
Land Use
- Apartment pQ4\
y�
- Commercial 0
PJJ
- Common Area 9
('�rnuai fiat' ��
- Residential
Seasonal Residential
Townhouse
Vacant
0 0.125 0.25 6.5 Mlles
MAXFIELD RESEARCH AND CONSULTING, LLC
Mr. Eric Zweber December 19, 2017
WSB & Associates, Inc. Page 6
Navarre Zoning, 2017
s�
d
Q.I:ti al B(.1t
rr
fF�.�r .4rarr Togo Rd -pa,
Id County Rd
Northern pve Cr estal PI
I 1111 �1111 �
01 Irin �■1111\ f i
��'�11611ItW � oNil
i����
�lm ■ni 41
Zoning Districts
Business �P/y
�L
- B-1 -Retail Sales �
13-3 - Shopping Center
B-4 - Office/Professional
B-5 - Limited Neighborhood
Lakeshore Residential
LR-1C - One Family Lakeshore Residential - 1/2 Acre
LR-1C-1- One Family Lakeshore Residential Subdistrict - 1/2 Acre
Planned unit Development
PRO - Planned Residential Development
0 0.075 Q.75 0,3 Mites
Traffic Counts
Traffic counts are provided by the Minnesota Department of Transportation (MnDOT). Traffic
counts are reported as the number of vehicles expected to pass a given location on an average
day of the year. This value is called the "annual average daily traffic" and are represented on
traffic count or traffic volume maps. The AADT is based on a short-term traffic count, usually 48
hours, taken at the location. This count is then adjusted for the variation in traffic volume
throughout the year and the average number of axles per vehicle. Short-term counts are col-
lected over a three-year cycle.
MAXFIELD RESEARCH AND CONSULTING, LLC
Mr. Eric Zweber December 19, 2017
WSB & Associates, Inc. Page 11
Population Age Distribution
Orono 2017
■ 2017 12022
a 2,000
a
0 1, 500
1,000
z ■■ ■
500 11-
0
■■ ■ '
Under 18 18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 plus
Age Cohort
Percent Change in Age Distribution From 2017-2022
35.D%
30.00/0 ■ Navarre ■ Orono ■ Hennepin
2 5.0%
20.0%
c
15Mo
V
c 10.0000
a
5.0%
O.D /o
■ '�L
5,0% Unrr I8 Jto24 25 to 34 35 to 44 1# 54 55to 64 65 to 74 75 plus
-10.0%
Age Cohort
MAXFIlELD RESEARCH AND CONSULTING, LLC
Mr. Eric Zweber December 19, 2017
WSB & Associates, Inc. Page 12
TABLE 3
POPULATION AGE DISTRIBUTION
PRIMARY MARKET AREA
2000-2022
U.S. Census ESRI Change 2000-20 1 Change 2017-2022
2000
2010
2017
2022
No.
Pct.
No.
Pct.
Under 18
N/A
66
63
65
N/A
N/A
2
3.2%
18 to 24
N/A
16
18
17
N/A
N/A
-1
-5.6%
25 to 34
N/A
36
41
43
N/A
N/A
2
4.9%
35 to 44
N/A
49
48
51
N/A
N/A
3
6.3%
45 to 54
N/A
63
58
55
N/A
N/A
-3
-5.2%
55 to 64
N/A
56
61
63
N/A
N/A
2
3.3%
65 to 74
N/A
26
40
47
N/A
N/A
7
17.5%
75 plus
N/A
12
15
18
N/A
N/A
3
20.09/0
Total
N/A
324
344
359
N/A
N/A
15
44.4%
Orono
Under 18
2,062
1,976
1,968
1,920
-96
-4.2%
-48
-2.4%
18 to 24
337
325
439
468
-12
-3.6%
29
6.6%
25 to 34
597
400
493
549
-197
-33.0%
56
11.4%
35 to 44
1,414
914
872
927
-500
-35.4%
55
6.3%
45 to 54
1,578
1,559
1,454
1,369
-19
-1.2%
-85
-5.8%
55 to 64
874
1,323
1,537
1,607
449
51.4%
70
4.6%
65 to 74
420
587
956
1,224
167
39.8%
268
28.0%
75plus
256
353
457
607
97
37.9%
150
32.8%
Total
7,538
7,437
8,176
8,671
-101
S1.7%
495
81.4%
Hennepin County
Under 18
267,502
261,345
268,719
274,768
-6,157
-2.3%
6,049
2.3%
18 to 24
108,767
113,551
124,686
125,843
4,784
4.4%
1,157
0.9%
25 to 34
183,860
187,523
191,588
198,828
3,663
2.0%
7,240
3.8%
35 to 44
191,872
154,304
164,543
178,271
-37,568
-19.6%
13,728
8.3%
45 to 54
156,068
171,130
161,675
156,373
15,062
9.7%
-5,302
-3.3%
55 to 64
85,773
133,758
160,972
163,600
47,985
55.9%
2,628
1.6%
65 to 74
59,737
66,516
201,312
125,133
6,779
11.3%
23,821
23.5%
75plus
62,621
64,298
75,143
90,103
1,677
2.7%
14,960
19.9%
Totai 1,116,200 1,152,425 1,248,638 1,322,919 36,225 64.1% 64,281 57.1%
urces: U.S. Census; ESRI; Maxfield Research & Consulting, LLC
MAXFIELD RESEARCH AND CONSULTING, LLC
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CMP Part 3B. General Land Use Plan
2030.
EXISTING AND FUTURE LAND USE SUMMARY
Map 313-2 depicts the existing land uses in Orono as of 2016. Table 3B-2: Orono Existing Land Use
Summary, shows just over 1/3 of Orono's total area is in open water; of the remaining 2/3 that is land
area, 92% is devoted to residential, parks & open space uses, or underdeveloped.
Table 3B-2: Orono Existing Land Use
Summary 2016)
Land Use Category
Acreage
% of City
Rural Preserve
302
1,97%
Rural Residential
2,098
13.66%
Island Residential
76
0.49%
Urban Low Density
Residential
2,441
15.90%
Urban Medium Density
Residential
32
0.21%
Urban High Density
Residential
21
0.14%
Commercial/ Office
86
0.56%
Industrial
35
0.23%
Park, Recreational and
Open Space
1,529
9.96%
Undeveloped
3367
21.93%
Right -of -Way
137
TOTAL
15,356
65%
Source: Existing Land Use Map EEI
Note: Open Water is a dominant natural feature of Orono and. represents 34.03 percent of the "land" area
of Orono. However, because it is not a land use, it is not included in Table 313-2 above or on Map 313-2a.
City of Orono Community Management Plan 2020-2040 Part 3B, Page 13