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ORONO CITY COUNCIL MEETING <br />MONDAY, NOVEMBER 10, 2003 <br />• (6. Stubbs Bay Water Quality Improvements Minnehaha Creek Watershed District, <br />Continued) <br />Internal nutrient concentrations increase following the spring and fall turnover. The <br />external loading would continue to increase with the increase of developed conditions as <br />projected according to the Met Council 2020 plan. Currently about 29% of the land <br />around the bay is developed as single family home, which could become 63% with fully <br />developed conditions, leading to additional nutrient spread off the land and into the lake. <br />Gaffron stated that the way Met Council reports could have some inaccuracies. He would <br />expect much less of an increase in development around the bay. Wyatt stated that his <br />charts show 516 acres of land in current use. With total development, and the agricultural <br />and farmstead land completely eliminated, they would have 1,151 developed acres of <br />single family residential. Gaffron stated that the northeast portion of the watershed is the <br />most likely to get developed and the rest of the area is not likely to be further developed. <br />Wyatt stated that as the land is developed to whatever degree, increased use would result <br />in increased external loading of nutrients. The issue should be addressed in a management <br />plan. <br />In improving the water quality, both the internal and external nutrient loads would have to <br />be addressed. Wyatt stated that the Watershed District would like guidance as to how <br />• much the City would like to improve the water quality, if at all. From their lake response <br />model, to reduce the frequency of the algae blooms by 30% would require reducing the <br />total phosphorus load by 50 %, which is a significant number. <br />• <br />Wyatt stated he came to present the study results and to ask the City if they would like the <br />Watershed District to continue with the feasibility project. They have budgeted for it and <br />are prepared to do it. They would look for a partnership with the City to engage the area <br />residents, the direct stakeholders, who are living on and around the bay to find out what <br />sort of improvements they would like. They would need to find a happy medium between <br />leaving the bay as is, and completely eliminating phosphorus. <br />As water clarity increases, so does submergent vegetation, such as milfoil. Stubbs Bay <br />does not currently have a milfoil problem. They would also conduct a cost - benefit <br />analysis and consider a long -term solution that takes into account area development. <br />Chemical alteration of the lake would require repeated cost assessments after determining <br />how often treatments would need to be repeated. They would manage the internal and <br />external factors of the lake to find a balance that achieves the goal for the bay. <br />White asked about lakeshore restoration as part of the solution, with resident participation <br />in restoring natural vegetation. Wyatt replied that could be part of the project, and that the <br />Watershed District is interested in promoting that kind of shoreline stabilization over <br />traditional riprap. Wyatt stated that the MCWD completed a comprehensive hydrologic <br />9of16 <br />