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2024 Hennepin County All -Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan <br />Volume 2 — Hazard Inventory <br />Convective outlook (upper left), tornado (upper right), severe wind (lower left), and hail probabilities on <br />august 6, 2013. From SPC's severe weather events database. <br />Mesoscale Discussions (MDs) are used to identify a particular area of concern within a risk area, <br />often when storms have developed or are expected to, and to communicate the possibility that a <br />watch may be issued. The MD will be tagged with a statement of likelihood regarding the issuance <br />of a Watch, as follows: <br />Severe Potential... Watch Unlikely (5 or 20%) <br />Severe Potential... Watch Possible (40 or 60%) <br />Severe Potential... Watch likely (80 or 95%) <br />Severe Potential... Watch Needed Soon (95%) <br />MDs can also be used to communicate additional concerns or trends during an ongoing event. Like <br />Convective Outlooks, MDs are both graphical and textual. The following MD graphic was issued <br />after the 15:00 CDT Convective Outlook, in anticipation of a watch issuance. <br />103 <br />