11-22-1999 Council Work Session - Laserfiche WebLink

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considerations of proximity to Lake Minnetonka. The rural area will see continued residential development at a slow, steady pace with mo st land tH*- Mo na being of the two to fou r lot variety in a manner similar to that of the past two decades. Str -1 subdivision review will ensure adequate retention of privately maintained open space, wetland conser\ation, and on-site system site evaluation. Non-residential development will be limited to quaai-agrieultural uae»«tehea greenhouae a, truek-farma and open space recreation. With the large percentage of wetlands, steep slopes and public open space, the gross developed density is expected to be about 1 unit per 7 acres in the 5-acre zone and 1 unit per 4 acres in the 2-acre zones , with the net developed density not less than 1 unit per 2.0 acres of dr>'-buildable land, this being determined on a detailed review of individual site conditions. Orono's projected population growth has dramatically declined in the last ten years. In 1970. Orono was projected to have an ultimate (year 2060) population of 37,000. As o f I9'?8; Oreno projects a year 2000 po pulatio n of -9'.'5 40 and the Metro pelitim Cou ncil projects an ultimate po pulatio n of 11,000 . As of 1998. Orono proierts a year 2020 population of just under 9,000 . This figure is very close to our existing estimated population of 7.800 and is still potentially high considering our recent growth trends, and would be easily obtainable within our existing zoning densities. This decline ts'co nsistent with the general decline in birth rate and po pulatio n project ions fo r the region as a whol e, ns well as a realigatien that a po pulation shift is o ccurring which will see renewed gre^ th o r stabilieatio n of the central cities and inner-ring suburbs. The proj ected po pulation is in line ith Orono's pro posed land use and faeilitics plans. The po pulation reduction is co nsistent with Oro no's rural land use preservation pol icies, with the State Department of Transpo rtatio ft'a decisio n to abandon upgrading o f Highway 12 and with the reduced service area and design capacity of -the Orono - Lon g bake ■ Intercepto r: Orono's housing plan accommodates all expected population growth in a variety’ of housing opportunities. The forecast population increase of Sr240 approximately 1500 persons in the ne.xt twenty years translates into a housing demand of approximately 900 new dwelling units. Approximately 40% 55% of these units are expected to develop in the urban area and approximately 60% 45% in the rural area. Most new urban housing will be in the form of single family homes on scattered vacant lots throughout the sewered area. Opportunities exist for substantial rehabilitation projects in the older urban neighborhoods and for scattered-site new construction of affordable and lifecvcie housing units. Some planned restdential develo pments including attached townhe mea shou ld-occu r in the Navarre .‘\rca. Other new units will be in the fo rm of replacement o r eonveraten of cxi:uing seasonal w<nhstnnfliiitl-dwelling«t cspecinllv along the lukcshere. New areas proposed for urban development located primarily outside of the defined Shoreland area will be developed at densities ranging from I to 4 or more units per acre, commensurate with the Citv's identified need for a wider range of housing alternatives to serve an expanding range of housing needs. Most neu rural housing will be on new lots of two to five acres net buildable area, all with prior approved site evaluation and proof of adequate septic system operation. These rural building sites when provided with private roads, wells and on-site systems ha\e market values comparable to CMP 6-15