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Trends in Boat Numbers on Lake Minnetonka and Other Twin <br />Cities Lakes and Rivers Since the Mid 1980s* <br />XTEI^ <br />3.Q <br />Twin Cities Trends (excluding Lake Minnetonka) <br />Between 1984 and 1996 there was little overall change in boat numbers on Twin <br />Cities area lakes at peak boating times on weekend/holiday afternoons (see leftmost <br />set of columns on Figure 1). This same lack of change is evident for all the boat­ <br />ing lake-resource classes, except those that received a public access between 1984 <br />and 1996 (see other sets of columns on Figure 1). <br />The St. Croix River downstream of Taylors Falls has experienced ups and downs <br />in boat numbers at peak boating times on weekend/holiday afternoons since 1983, <br />but no trend in boat numbers is apparent (Figure 2). The St. Croix is the major <br />boating resource of the east side of the metro area, much like h4innetonka is the <br />major boating resource of the west side of the metro area. It is used as intensively <br />for boating as Minnetonka. Together the St. Croix and Minnetonka support 43 percent <br />of all summer boating on metro waters (St. Croix 16% and Minnetonka 27%). <br />Lake Minnetonka Trends <br />Lake Minnetonka may have followed the same pattern as other metro area lakes and <br />the St. Croix River; namely, since 1984 no evident trend in boat numbers at peak <br />times on weekend/holiday afternoons. However, in the 1990s, excepting 1994, <br />average boat numbers have been lower than in the 1980s (Figure 3a). The reason <br />for these lower averages is a few “marginal ” boating days, days when the weather <br />was rainy, windy and raw and when the number of boats on the water was excep­ <br />tionally low. Such marginal boating days were not encountered in the boat counts <br />of the 1980s. If these few exceptionally low days (the four days identified on Fig ­ <br />ure 4) aie eliminated from the averages, the “fair weather” averages in the 1990s <br />look very similar to those in the 1980s (Figure 3b). TTie “fair weather” trend dis­ <br />played on Figure 3b is probably a more accurate depiction of Lake Minnetonka <br />trends than the “all counts” trend displayed on Figure 3a. <br />T^is was a cooperative research effort of MN DNR and LMCD. (2) 1997 St. Croix Iwat co^ts from: 1997 Recreational <br />Boating Study of the Lower St. Croix National Scenic Riverway and the Mississippi river from the Twin Cities to Lock <br />and Dimi 10. Minnesota-Wisconsin Boundaiy Area Commission. 1998. (3) 1998 L^e Minnetonka boat counts fr^: <br />1998 Lake Minnetonka Boat Use Study. Conducted by Schocll & Madson, Inc. under contract with LMCD and MN <br />DNR, 1998. <br />Tim Kelly, MN DNR, May 1999