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I <br />I <br />I <br />r <br />4 <br />I <br />I <br />(NEW TABLE) <br />ORONO POPULATION PROJECTIONS (November 1999) <br />Population Forecasts <br />Year <br />Urban Area (1/2 & 1 ac.) <br />Rural Area (2 & 5 ac.) <br />Total City <br />1970 <br />4,160 <br />2,627 <br />6,787 <br />1980 <br />3,995 <br />2.850 <br />6,845 <br />1990 <br />4,135 <br />3,150 <br />7,285 <br />2000 <br />4,115 <br />3,685 <br />7,800 <br />2010 <br />4,950 <br />4,100 <br />9,050 <br />2020 <br />4,900 <br />4,400 <br />9300 <br />Saturation <br />4,925 <br />4,450 <br />9375 <br />Occupied Household Forecasts <br />Year <br />Urban Area (1/2 «S; I ac.) <br />Rural Area (2 & 5 ac.) <br />Total City <br />1970 <br />1,316 <br />830 <br />2,146 <br />1980 <br />1,337 <br />954 <br />2391 <br />1990 <br />1.483 <br />1,130 <br />2,613 <br />2000 <br />1.491 <br />1,335 <br />2,826 <br />2010 <br />1,900 <br />1,500 <br />3,400 <br />2020 <br />1,950 <br />1,750 <br />3,700 <br />Saturation <br />1,975 <br />1,775 <br />3,750 <br />Sources: U.S. Census; Metropolitan Council forecasts; City records and forecasts. <br />*Does not include vacant dwelling units <br />Note: Urban and Rural Areas correspond to zoning districts as of 1 999, do not reflect conversions from Rural to Urban, <br />and do not coincide with sew ered/non-sewered areas of the Cit\’. <br />Orono's land use plan accommodates all expected population growth in a wide <br />variety of housing opportunities. The forecast population increase of 2,240 <br />appro.ximatelv 1500 persons in the ne.xt twenty years translates into a housing <br />demand of approximately ?50 900 new dwelling units. This average of-3? ^ new <br />dwellings per year is consistent with or slitihtlv above Orono's rate of actual building <br />permit issuance during the T9764 past three decades . From past experience and based <br />on the Land Use Plan, approximately 40% half of these new units are expected to <br />develop in the urban area and approximately 6 0% half in the rural area. <br />The Metropolitan Council's Regional Blueprint and the Minnesota Livable <br />Communities Act emphasizes the advantages of free choice a wide range of <br />housing alternatives and in housing locations such as that afforded by Orono's <br />differing urban and rural neighborhoods. The location of housing alternatives is <br />directly related to the opportunities and services enjoyed by residents of the <br />Metropolitan Area. Location intluences not only access to employment, but also the <br />availability of neighborhood parks and recreational programs, libraries, health care <br />facilities, day care centers, and access to major retail centers, highways, and public <br />transit. Thc-Metropolitan Council therefore rccommend s-that-people freedom <br />of choice in the location of tfaefr housing. <br />CMP 3C - 8