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LAND USE JUNE, 1980 <br />0R(»10 EXPECTS FUTURE DEVELOPMENT IN BOTH THE URBAN AND THE RURAL PORTIONS <br />OF THE CITY. The urban area is expected to have new residential development <br />on the existing vacant lots and undeveloped parcels similar to the forms of <br />development projected for the eloser-in suburbs. Economic development will <br />likely be limited to neighborhood services in the existing Navarre Area and <br />fuller utilization of the industrial potential near Long Lake. Overall <br />urban density will remain relatively low because of the ecological <br />considerations of proximity to Lake Minnetonka. <br />The rural area is expected to have continued residential development at a <br />steady pace. Non-residential development'will likely be limited to quasi- <br />aqricultural uses such as greenhouses, truck farms and open space recreAxion. <br />Nith the large percentage of wetlands, steepslopesand public openspace, <br />the gross developed density is expected to be about 1 unit per 7 acres <br />with the net developed density not less than 1 unit per 2 acres of dry- <br />buildable land, this being determined on a detailed review of Individual <br />site conditions. <br />RECENT CHANGES IN NATIONAL PRIORITIES, POPULATION TRENDS, METROPOLITAN <br />PLANS AND METROPOLITAN FACILITIES REINFORCE THE PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT <br />OBJECTIVES OF ORONO. The 1950*s and 1960*s were years of great expansion <br />and reliance upon the powers of science and industry to solve all problems. <br />Population graphs showed growth projections running off the paper. Suburbs <br />boomed while core cities were fighting for their very survival. <br />The 1970*s brought a new environmental awareness and an understanding that <br />nature, not science was the key to our planet's survival. New.social <br />concerns revived thej cities and showed how characterless the suburbs had <br />become. Inflation and population stabilization brought unlimited expansion <br />to a halt as roads, schools and all public services began scrambling for <br />maintenance dollars while over-built facilities quickly became terrible <br />taxpayer burdens. The cost of energy is dramatically refocusing everyone's <br />attention on conservation and careful planning of any new facility. <br />The results of these changes on the Twin Cities region and on Orono are <br />significant. Orono's ultimate population projections have been dropping <br />from estimates of 37,000 made in 1970, to 23,000 in 1972, to 14,000 in <br />1974, to the Metropolitan Council's most recent figure' of 11,000 made in <br />1979. This figure is very close to our existing population of 7,300, and <br />is still probably high considering the new energy problems and our recent <br />growth trends, and would be easily obtainable within our existing zoning <br />densities. <br />cm or owmo - roruLMTioM moncriONS <br />FOFULATION rOMCASTS NOUSCNOLO rORCCASTS <br />YIAR 1970 19i0»1990 3000 SATURATION 1970 1990*1990 3000 SATURATION <br />Urban Arna 4140 4250 5130 5900 7200 1400 1450 1740 2000 2400 <br />Rural Area 2437 1040 3220 1440 1900 744 990 1040 1190 1247 <br />rOTAL CITY 4797 7390 0140 9540 11000 2144 2410 3790 1190 1447 <br />•ifto EmtimMtm, to hm v«rifi«d by census in pwoqwmmm <br />Sourcni 1970 Cnnsusi 1900 City Rncordsi 1990-Saturntion* <br />City nnd Mntropolitnn Council Froloctions 1-31*71 <br />•h'8 <br />-aY r'-*v