03-23-2010 Council Work Session Packet

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CMP Part 4A. Trans ortation Plan � (� powers of science and industry to solve all problems. Population graphs showed growth projections running off the paper. Suburbs boomed while core cities were fighting for their very survival. The 1970's brought a new environmental awareness and an understanding that nature, not science, was the key to our planet's survival. New social concerns revived the cities and showed how characterless the suburbs had become.Inflation and population stabilization brought unlimited expansion to a halt as roads, schools, and all public services began scrambling for maintenance dollars while overbuilt facilities quickly became terrible taxpayer burdens. The cost of energy dramatically refocused everyone's attention on conservation and careful planning of any new facility. The results of these changes on the Twin Cities region and on Orono were significant. Orono's ultimate population projections have been dropping from estimates of 37,000 made in 1970, to 23,000 in 1972, to 14,000 in 1974, to the Metropolitan Council's projection of 11,000 made in 1979. Population trends during the last 30 years and a careful and._ongoing analysis of development capabilities of remaining land as comp�'ed�to Oro o's current and intended zoning, suggest an ultimate population of aro nd 9,800. is downward trend over the last four decades is clearly a result of Oro ' 75 city-wide rezoning to lower residential densities, reacting to environmental concerns regarding protecting the water quality of Lake Minnetonka and other Orono lakes. ; Table 4A-l: Orono Population and Households 1970 - 2030 � (Sewered and Unsewered Forecasts) _,�._ �, Population --�""�. - , Year 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Sewered -- -- -- -- 5,800 7,000 7,300 Unsewered -- -- -- -- 2,500 2,500 2,500 Total Cih� 6,787 6,845 7,285 7,53 , 8,300 9,500 9,800 Households ___..._____�_ Year 1970 1980 1990 2000 20 � 2030 � Sewered -- -- -- -- 2,256 2,950 3,020 Unsewered -- -- -- - 944 1,000 1,080 Tj otal City 2,146 2,291 2,613 2, 66 , 3,200 3,950 4,100 Persons/HH 3.16 2.99 2.79 2.7 2.59 2.41 2.39 Source: Metropolitan Council System Statement The projected population as shown in Table 4A-1 is in line with and a direct result of Orono's rural land use preservation policies,and is consistent with the proposed public facilities plans of Orono, the Minnesota Department of Transportation and the Metropolitan Council's Environmental Services sec�ion. Cit�- of Orono Communit�� Management Plan 2008-2030 Page 4A-5