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In order for Orono to be consistent with MC 2020 household and population forecasts, the City <br /> would have to re-guide and rezone enough property to accommodate 350 additional households <br /> over and above the current planning. Two possible scenarios to accomplish this include: <br /> 1) at the Met Council minimum density of 3 units per acre, this translates to about 120 additional <br /> acres, an area slightly more than twice the acreage contained in the "Dumas/James" properties <br /> already guided for development at 2-4 units per acre; ar <br /> 2) at a density of 15 units per acre (similar to the Orono Woods Senior Housing site) this <br /> translates to about 25 additional acres, which would accommodate six buildings similar to Orono <br /> Woods in size and layout. <br /> The potential locations for either scenario are limited, and would require significant changes in <br /> the current guideplan. <br /> 2. HOUSING <br /> "The Update is incomplete for Housing. The Update does acknowledge the Ciry's share of <br /> the region's affordable housing need for 2011-2020 - 311 units, and cites the Ciry's <br /> o�cial controls and implementation prog�ams it will use to assist in the development of <br /> affo��dable housing. However, to be complete, the Update needs to include a breakout of <br /> the amount of land that will be available foN residential development or redevelopment <br /> during the 2011-2020 timeframe, along with the proposed land use designations and <br /> density ranges. " <br /> "Housing" Analysis <br /> This request for a summary of developable land amounts, land use designations and density <br /> ranges can be compiled into a more succinct format from data tables and maps already located in <br /> the Housing chapter, the Land Use chapter or the Sewer chapter. At any rate, the infarmation can <br /> be provided without much additional effort. <br /> Implications. Reading between the lines, my assumption is that once the data is provided, it will <br /> show clearly what we have already concluded - we have not guided land for the very hibh <br /> densities (15+ units per acre) that would be needed to potentially result in development of <br /> substantial amounts of affordable housing. When the land and other development costs are <br /> added in, affordable housing is very difficult here without some form of subsidy. <br /> I would anticipate that once the requested data is provided, MC will respond by telling us that <br /> what we are proposing is inadequate, and we should find more land to re-guide for higher <br /> density. <br /> Review of Met Council Comp Plan Initial Response Page 6 of 17 <br /> August 28, 2009 <br />